tjq

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

Player	Rounds	Elo	SRM
tjq	190	3030	1984

Rating	perf	err	err2	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max	R	rank
SRMFix	0.088	1.048	1.354	32.5	-129	543	2911	2555	433
EloSRM	0.013	1.053	1.343	19.3	-93	681	3056	3030	1027
SRM	0.258	1.077	1.404	53.8	-207	237	2790	1984	601
initial	0.061	1.119	1.476	134.7	-383	681	3547	2587	1194

#	date	round	division	rank	seed	perf	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
190	2014-06-07	TCO14 Round 2B	1	779	587.47	-0.72	-14	3030	1027	-151	1984	601
189	2014-05-17	TCO14 Round 2A	1	697	483.11	-0.53	-12	3045	981	-93	2135	393
188	2014-04-26	TCO14 Round 1C	1	90	127.33	0.50	21	3056	954	-19	2228	322
187	2008-03-01	TCO08 Round 3	1	203	139.77	-0.54	-6	3035	188	-44	2247	217
186	2008-02-23	TCO08 Round 2	1	224	202.02	-0.15	0	3041	174	-1	2291	184
185	2008-02-16	TCO08 Round 1	1	624	201.87	-1.63	-14	3040	169	-94	2292	179
184	2007-11-14	SRM 376	1	77	67.02	-0.20	0	3054	130	-8	2386	111
183	2007-10-23	SRM 373	1	37	53.15	0.52	8	3054	129	26	2394	111
182	2007-09-04	SRM 364	1	124	77.70	-0.67	-4	3047	120	-25	2368	113
181	2007-08-01	SRM 361	1	25	72.37	1.53	13	3051	110	69	2393	105
180	2007-07-12	SRM 357	1	19	64.04	1.75	14	3038	116	82	2324	120
179	2007-07-02	SRM 356	1	181	130.78	-1.01	-6	3024	119	-146	2242	144
178	2007-06-20	SRM 355	1	27	65.92	1.29	12	3030	114	47	2388	102
177	2007-06-02	SRM 352	1	81	81.95	0.02	2	3018	114	2	2341	112
176	2007-05-23	SRM 350	1	59	73.01	0.31	5	3016	113	18	2339	109
175	2007-05-15	SRM 349	1	95	79.39	-0.26	-1	3011	113	-5	2321	111
174	2007-05-09	SRM 348	1	25	62.56	1.32	13	3012	114	64	2326	110
173	2007-04-24	SRM 346	1	132	65.90	-1.00	-6	2999	117	-38	2262	138
172	2007-04-21	TCO07 Round 3	1	196	102.96	-0.93	-7	3006	117	-77	2300	120
171	2007-04-14	TCO07 Round 2	1	186	138.28	-0.43	-2	3013	114	-18	2377	99
170	2007-04-10	TCO07 Round 1B	1	28	46.03	0.72	9	3015	110	38	2395	96
169	2007-03-14	SRM 342	1	26	49.89	0.94	10	3006	105	53	2357	97
168	2007-02-20	SRM 340	1	348	125.51	-1.70	-11	2996	108	-158	2304	114
167	2007-01-25	SRM 336	1	36	48.41	0.43	6	3007	96	8	2462	66
166	2007-01-13	SRM 334	1	32	66.90	1.06	11	3001	100	36	2454	67
165	2007-01-04	SRM 333	1	45	60.98	0.44	6	2990	101	18	2418	74
164	2006-12-13	SRM 330	1	15	54.57	1.86	15	2984	105	74	2400	79
163	2006-12-09	SRM 329	1	29	70.87	1.29	12	2969	113	61	2326	102
162	2006-11-29	SRM 328	1	140	53.55	-1.39	-9	2957	118	-54	2265	120
161	2006-11-11	SRM 326	1	11	64.62	2.56	18	2966	110	102	2319	103
160	2006-11-02	SRM 325	1	40	72.23	0.85	9	2948	124	59	2217	144
159	2006-10-19	SRM 323	1	46	71.34	0.63	7	2938	125	58	2158	166
158	2006-10-09	SRM 322	1	34	78.55	1.21	11	2931	124	87	2100	192
157	2006-10-02	SRM 321	1	281	106.12	-1.65	-10	2919	125	-150	2013	252
156	2006-09-30	SRM 320	1	43	80.12	0.90	10	2929	120	54	2163	165
155	2006-09-18	SRM 319	1	73	63.65	-0.20	0	2920	119	17	2109	181
154	2006-08-29	SRM 318	1	109	75.37	-0.53	-3	2920	119	0	2092	186
153	2006-08-19	SRM 316	1	144	49.91	-1.53	-9	2923	116	-50	2092	186
152	2006-08-09	SRM 315	1	168	57.31	-1.55	-10	2932	110	-78	2142	162
151	2006-07-22	SRM 312	1	46	59.40	0.37	5	2942	100	28	2220	119
150	2006-07-06	SRM 310	1	31	42.71	0.46	6	2937	101	36	2192	131
149	2006-06-28	SRM 309	1	32	37.39	0.22	4	2931	107	32	2156	143
148	2006-06-24	SRM 308	1	65	43.22	-0.59	-3	2927	105	1	2124	154
147	2006-06-14	SRM 307	1	67	41.36	-0.70	-4	2930	106	-3	2123	151
146	2006-05-31	SRM 305	1	185	40.93	-2.19	-12	2934	102	-116	2126	151
145	2006-05-09	SRM 301	1	140	53.34	-1.39	-9	2946	92	-72	2242	106
144	2006-04-27	SRM 300	1	36	38.14	0.08	3	2955	84	8	2314	85
143	2006-04-11	SRM 298	1	47	43.90	-0.10	1	2952	83	1	2306	85
142	2006-03-29	SRM 295	1	69	53.88	-0.36	-1	2951	83	-10	2305	87
141	2006-03-22	TCO06 Round 4	1	49	51.91	0.08	3	2953	79	16	2315	82
140	2006-03-17	SRM 293	1	38	46.07	0.28	4	2950	78	23	2299	83
139	2006-03-15	TCO06 Round 3	1	98	71.03	-0.46	-3	2946	78	-21	2276	90
138	2006-03-08	TCO06 Round 2	1	27	95.52	1.82	15	2949	72	99	2297	77
137	2006-03-06	SRM 292	1	118	47.53	-1.31	-8	2934	76	-43	2198	116
136	2006-03-04	TCO06 Round 1	1	26
135	2006-02-16	SRM 290	1	79	36.99	-1.10	-6	2942	72	-31	2241	95
134	2006-02-08	SRM 288	1	4	36.16	3.18	19	2948	70	127	2272	82
133	2006-02-04	SRM 287	1	136	46.77	-1.55	-9	2929	73	-57	2145	121
132	2006-01-30	SRM 286	1	93	49.05	-0.92	-6	2938	72	-29	2202	97
131	2006-01-21	SRM 284	1	58	40.60	-0.52	-2	2943	67	-4	2231	91
130	2006-01-05	SRM 281	1	60	40.23	-0.58	-3	2946	65	-4	2235	90
129	2005-12-28	SRM 280	1	92	34.32	-1.42	-8	2949	65	-48	2239	88
128	2005-12-21	SRM 279	1	6
127	2005-12-19	SRM 278	1	44	34.68	-0.34	-1	2957	62	5	2287	79
126	2005-12-17	SRM 277	1	157	47.93	-1.71	-10	2958	62	-72	2282	79
125	2005-12-08	SRM 276	1	103	47.66	-1.11	-7	2968	60	-44	2354	64
124	2005-11-30	SRM 275	1	31	30.25	-0.04	2	2975	59	8	2398	55
123	2005-11-21	SRM 273	1	81	42.28	-0.94	-6	2973	59	-32	2390	56
122	2005-11-19	SRM 272	1	28	43.50	0.64	8	2979	54	38	2422	50
121	2005-11-08	SRM 271	1	25	31.38	0.33	5	2971	58	32	2384	61
120	2005-11-03	SRM 270	1	12	29.21	1.28	12	2966	58	70	2352	65
119	2005-10-26	SRM 269	1	49	26.61	-0.88	-6	2954	61	-11	2282	81
118	2005-10-18	SRM 268	1	1	34.96	5.13	28	2959	61	162	2293	78
117	2005-10-13	TCO05 Semi 1	1	12	9.97	-0.44	-3	2932	69	-39	2131	111
116	2005-10-05	SRM 267	1	41	34.08	-0.27	0	2935	66	30	2170	105
115	2005-10-01	SRM 266	1	48	38.99	-0.30	-1	2936	64	32	2140	112
114	2005-09-27	SRM 265	1	110	41.47	-1.41	-10	2937	66	-21	2108	120
113	2005-09-20	SRM 264	1	155	83.37	-1.34	-9	2946	63	-144	2129	112
112	2005-09-14	SRM 263	1	191	35.12	-2.44	-15	2955	58	-137	2273	82
111	2005-09-09	SRM 262	1	11	29.88	1.44	15	2970	53	58	2410	55
110	2005-09-07	TCO05 Round 4	1	43	39.70	-0.12	1	2956	58	4	2352	70
109	2005-08-31	TCO05 Round 3	1	67	54.36	-0.30	-1	2955	54	-6	2348	69
108	2005-08-30	SRM 261	1	91	30.65	-1.57	-11	2957	55	-64	2354	65
107	2005-08-24	TCO05 Round 2	1	43	63.38	0.56	9	2967	50	31	2418	54
106	2005-08-20	TCO05 Round 1	1	135	68.64	-0.98	-8	2958	52	-35	2387	57
105	2005-08-16	TCO05 Qual 4/6	1	3	18.20	2.60	26	2966	49	94	2422	53
104	2005-08-10	SRM 258	1	59	38.14	-0.63	-5	2941	60	-20	2328	72
103	2005-08-08	SRM 257	1	62	40.61	-0.61	-4	2946	58	-18	2348	68
102	2005-07-28	SRM 255	1	70	28.10	-1.32	-12	2950	54	-58	2366	59
101	2005-07-26	SRM 254	1	24	21.43	-0.16	1	2962	52	-2	2424	54
100	2005-07-23	SRM 253	1	35	34.61	-0.02	3	2961	52	4	2426	50
99	2005-07-12	SRM 251	1	17	28.88	0.76	14	2958	47	37	2422	47
98	2005-06-21	SRM 248	1	27	43.01	0.67	13	2945	51	40	2385	48
97	2005-06-01	SRM 245	1	4	28.31	2.82	32	2932	54	119	2345	58
96	2005-05-14	SRM 242	1	75	27.79	-1.43	-15	2900	56	-56	2226	79
95	2005-05-04	SRM 241	1	59	23.89	-1.30	-14	2914	52	-54	2282	69
94	2005-04-18	SRM 239	1	19	28.28	0.57	12	2928	49	33	2336	58
93	2005-04-06	SRM 237	1	58	19.98	-1.54	-16	2916	51	-70	2303	65
92	2005-04-02	SRM 236	1	32	21.48	-0.57	-6	2932	47	-17	2373	49
91	2005-03-22	SRM 235	1	14	25.75	0.88	18	2938	46	41	2390	46
90	2005-03-16	SRM 234	1	9	24.62	1.45	27	2920	49	65	2349	54
89	2004-09-11	TCO04 Round 1	1	54	50.34	-0.07	2	2894	36	19	2284	56
88	2004-09-07	TCO04 Qual 5	1	19	11.63	-0.71	-5	2892	34	-3	2265	61
87	2004-07-07	SRM 202	1	50	15.48	-1.69	-10	2897	31	-50	2268	57
86	2004-06-21	SRM 200	1	21	21.48	0.03	3	2907	29	26	2318	46
85	2004-06-16	SRM 199	1	20	14.78	-0.44	-2	2904	28	12	2292	51
84	2004-06-12	SRM 198	1	7	12.71	0.86	10	2906	28	65	2280	53
83	2004-06-02	SRM 197	1	86	15.75	-2.45	-15	2896	29	-115	2215	67
82	2004-05-27	SRM 196	1	6	12.80	1.09	12	2911	27	56	2330	45
81	2004-05-15	SRM 194	1	51	15.88	-1.68	-10	2899	28	-55	2274	57
80	2004-04-27	SRM 192	1	43	13.55	-1.67	-10	2910	26	-53	2329	43
79	2004-04-15	TCCC '04 Semifinals 3	1	4	4.45	0.16	4	2919	24	33	2382	37
78	2004-04-06	SRM 190	1	26	15.87	-0.71	-4	2915	26	-11	2349	40
77	2004-03-31	SRM 189	1	16	13.27	-0.27	0	2919	24	8	2360	39
76	2004-03-17	TCCC '04 Round 4	1	23	16.32	-0.50	-3	2920	25	-6	2352	39
75	2004-03-16	SRM 187	1	23	14.69	-0.65	-4	2923	22	1	2358	40
74	2004-03-13	SRM 186	1	47	14.07	-1.74	-11	2927	21	-55	2357	39
73	2004-03-10	TCCC '04 Round 3	1	47	19.42	-1.27	-9	2937	21	-56	2412	32
72	2004-03-03	TCCC '04 Round 2	1	36	19.78	-0.86	-6	2947	21	-17	2468	23
71	2004-03-01	SRM 185	1	33	15.88	-1.06	-7	2953	20	-15	2485	22
70	2004-02-28	TCCC '04 Round 1	1	24	20.50	-0.23	0	2960	19	20	2500	23
69	2004-02-23	TCCC '04 Qual. 2	1	21	4.86	-2.11	-14	2959	20	-58	2480	26
68	2004-02-17	SRM 184	1	10	15.55	0.64	9	2973	17	50	2538	19
67	2004-02-11	SRM 183	1	151	27.92	-2.57	-17	2964	18	-172	2488	23
66	2004-02-07	SRM 182	1	17	11.99	-0.50	-3	2981	16	-17	2660	13
65	2004-01-28	SRM 181	1	21	13.03	-0.69	-5	2983	16	-27	2677	12
64	2004-01-22	SRM 180	1	1	12.00	3.58	27	2988	16	105	2704	11
63	2004-01-17	SRM 179	1	15	11.49	-0.38	-2	2961	17	-11	2599	17
62	2004-01-07	SRM 178	1	27	11.58	-1.22	-8	2962	17	-37	2610	16
61	2003-12-30	SRM 177	1	19	7.33	-1.38	-9	2970	15	-45	2647	13
60	2003-12-22	SRM 176	1	3	13.77	2.20	22	2979	14	69	2692	11
59	2003-12-17	SRM 175	1	25	10.94	-1.19	-9	2957	17	-42	2623	14
58	2003-12-13	SRM 174	1	28	9.47	-1.56	-11	2966	17	-61	2665	11
57	2003-12-05	TCO '03 Finals	1	4	3.27	-0.29	-2	2977	14	-64	2726	11
56	2003-12-04	TCO '03 Semifinals 4	1	1	3.28	1.71	24	2979	14	98	2790	11
55	2003-11-20	SRM 172	1	5	13.17	1.40	17	2955	16	29	2692	11
54	2003-11-12	SRM 171	1	13	14.30	0.14	5	2938	17	-7	2663	12
53	2003-11-08	SRM 170	1	8	12.05	0.59	11	2933	18	11	2670	11
52	2003-11-05	TCO '03 Round 4	1	6	19.03	1.67	24	2922	19	64	2659	13
51	2003-10-29	TCO '03 Round 3	1	6	26.09	2.12	27	2898	20	74	2595	16
50	2003-10-22	TCO '03 Round 2	1	16	35.03	1.13	18	2871	21	44	2521	21
49	2003-10-15	TCO '03 Round 1	1	19	40.82	1.10	17	2854	23	40	2477	24
48	2003-10-01	SRM 166	1	50	21.04	-1.25	-12	2837	22	-58	2437	26
47	2003-09-23	SRM 165	1	3	18.89	2.66	31	2849	21	92	2495	19
46	2003-09-20	SRM 164	1	18	16.24	-0.15	1	2818	23	-9	2403	26
45	2003-09-08	SRM 163	1	24	16.36	-0.55	-4	2817	22	-28	2412	23
44	2003-09-03	SRM 162	1	16	15.33	-0.06	2	2821	21	-10	2440	23
43	2003-08-28	SRM 161	1	9	13.90	0.63	13	2818	20	18	2450	21
42	2003-08-23	SRM 160	1	10	11.41	0.19	7	2805	21	4	2432	24
41	2003-08-12	SRM 159	1	12	13.14	0.13	6	2799	22	-2	2428	22
40	2003-08-06	SRM 158	1	25	13.91	-0.85	-8	2793	22	-39	2430	21
39	2003-07-28	SRM 157	1	14	13.56	-0.05	3	2801	20	-8	2469	18
38	2003-07-17	SRM 155	1	14	11.68	-0.26	0	2798	20	-12	2477	19
37	2003-07-09	SRM 154	1	10	13.32	0.41	11	2798	18	17	2489	17
36	2003-06-25	SRM 152	1	15	13.65	-0.14	2	2787	20	0	2472	18
35	2003-06-17	SRM 151	1	42	13.89	-1.60	-17	2786	20	-61	2472	18
34	2003-06-11	SRM 150	1	19	11.50	-0.72	-8	2803	18	-22	2533	14
33	2003-06-02	SRM 149	1	27	13.02	-1.05	-13	2811	17	-38	2555	12
32	2003-05-28	SRM 148	1	2	12.72	2.67	37	2824	16	99	2593	12
31	2003-05-22	SRM 147	1	1	12.97	3.70	47	2787	17	146	2494	18
30	2003-05-14	SRM 146	1	8	10.52	0.40	12	2740	20	37	2348	25
29	2003-05-06	SRM 145	1	11	16.06	0.55	16	2728	22	49	2311	34
28	2003-04-30	SRM 144	1	4	20.45	2.35	43	2712	22	125	2262	35
27	2003-04-10	SRM 141	1	17	20.31	0.26	11	2668	30	49	2137	55
26	2003-03-18	SRM 139	1	67	19.50	-1.78	-25	2658	31	-65	2088	65
25	2003-03-10	SRM 138	1	129	25.22	-2.40	-32	2682	26	-207	2153	53
24	2003-03-06	SRM 137	1	16	17.54	0.13	8	2714	20	10	2360	21
23	2003-03-05	TCCC '03 Round 3	1	21	25.64	0.29	12	2706	20	21	2350	21
22	2003-02-26	TCCC '03 Round 2	1	15	31.74	1.18	29	2694	20	59	2329	23
21	2003-02-25	SRM 136	1	54	19.09	-1.50	-25	2665	22	-69	2270	31
20	2003-02-22	TCCC '03 Int'l Regional	1	11	10.36	0.05	8	2690	22	18	2339	22
19	2003-02-11	SRM 135	1	5	21.90	2.13	49	2682	21	94	2321	24
18	2003-02-08	SRM 134	1	2	21.59	3.43	69	2633	30	137	2227	35
17	2003-02-05	SRM 133	1	59	23.47	-1.30	-30	2564	53	-60	2090	65
16	2003-02-01	SRM 132	1	11	20.37	0.89	37	2593	45	62	2150	55
15	2003-01-30	SRM 131	1	12	30.67	1.35	54	2557	54	92	2088	64
14	2003-01-25	SRM 130	1	14	22.66	0.70	37	2502	66	65	1996	77
13	2002-10-30	TCI '02 Round 4	1	15	43.56	1.54	73	2465	79	148	1931	93
12	2002-10-29	SRM 118	1	30	38.82	0.37	24	2392	99	65	1783	137
11	2002-10-23	TCI '02 Round 3	1	20	119.01	2.57	100	2368	110	196	1718	179
10	2002-10-21	SRM 117	1	98	48.87	-1.00	-37	2268	175	-66	1522	311
9	2002-10-16	TCI '02 Round 2	1	150	125.84	-0.25	-5	2305	145	32	1588	253
8	2002-10-15	SRM 116	1	122	44.02	-1.48	-64	2310	139	-191	1556	275
7	2002-10-09	TCI '02 Round 1 A	1	46	59.41	0.37	36	2374	103	64	1747	159
6	2002-09-30	SRM 115	1	24	52.95	1.14	94	2338	115	129	1683	194
5	2002-08-27	SRM 110	1	57	42.34	-0.43	-24	2244	171	-1	1554	266
4	2002-08-12	SRM 108	1	82	28.91	-1.50	-93	2269	151	-194	1555	260
3	2002-08-01	SRM 106	1	17	49.20	1.53	172	2361	95	165	1749	145
2	2002-07-24	SRM 105	1	38	90.10	1.25	250	2189	209	147	1584	237
1	2002-06-11	SRM 96	2	33	299.78	3.18	681	1939	474	237	1437	367